The Big Hedge Fund Stories from 2011: Part 1 |
Date: Thursday, January 26, 2012
Author: Simon Kerr
Although individual news items can have can have historical significance (such
as story number 1 below) the effort here is more to point to the themes and
trends at work in the hedge fund industry last year. Here are my top stories for
2011:
1. Big Name Retirements – two of the best known names in the business
stopped running other people’s money in 2011. George Soros turned
Soros Fund Management into a family office in
the middle of the year, allowing him to have some involvement, even if he is not
the CIO at 81 years of age.
Bruce Kovner has handed over the investment reins at
Caxton Associates to Andrew Law, and the macro
maven is retiring. The extent of his future involvement in the $9.4bn firm is
not clear at this point.
2. Regulatory Body Success in Prosecutions – after much effort over the years,
regulators in the United States got some hedge fund scalps of significance in
2011. After the SEC was criticised for its handling of allegations against
Pequot Capital Management, the Securities and
Exchange Commission need the conspicuous success it achieved in the convictions
against the employees and owners of
Galleon Management. Galleon founder Raj
Rajaratnam was convicted of insider trading and sentenced to 11 years in jail in
October. Galleon trader Zvi Goffer, who controlled two insider dealing rings,
was sentenced to 10 years in prison and ordered to pay more than $10 million in
forfeitures.
The other conspicuous success was the case brought against Chip Skowron,
portfolio manager at
FrontPoint Partners. The healthcare stock
specialist was convicted of insider trading in August and sentenced to 5 years
in prison.
3. A Hedge Fund Winner From The Euro Crisis – that classic global macro
management can still be effective was demonstrated by Kyle Bass (and Hugh
Hendry) last year. Kyle Bass, the principal of Hayman Capital Partners, made
capital (both monetary and reputational) out of the sub-prime mortgage imbroglio
of 2007-8. It required patience and the ability to structure the trade right.
Having demonstrated that trait and that ability in making great returns then, in
2008, Kyle Bass went on to talk about the potential for the indebtedness of some
European countries to become an issue of significance. He also identified that
the long-dated credit default swaps were a great way to give low cost of carry
and a big pay-off. Bass’ patience and insight were rewarded in returns when the
structural flaws of the European project became clear to everyone in 2011.
The classic global macro set-up of a structural imbalance and an option like
pay-off was also successfully used by another contrarian, Hugh Hendry. Hendry
shares with Kyle Bass a wariness of fiat currencies, but his pay off in 2011
came from sharing the trait of patience. The manager of the Eclectica Fund had
pointed out some problems with the phenomena of Chinese growth in 2008, and in
2010 he began last year to short highly-cyclical Japanese corporate credits with
high exposure to Chinese demand. The Eclectica Fund was up over 12% for the year
by early December of last year.
4. King Quants Come Back – several of the hedge fund industry leaders made money
for their investors applying quantitative techniques to markets, but the crowns
of these kings of the algorithms have been tarnished by the aftermath of the
quant shock of August 2007. The archetype has been the Goldman Sachs Global
Alpha fund. The two founders of the research process behind the product, Mark
Carhart and Raymond Iwanowski, left Goldmans in 2009, and the fund itself was
closed in the fourth quarter of 2011.
But not every quant outfit has followed a route of inexorable decline. It was
commented here last year that
Renaissance Technologies Corporation, founded
by Jim Simons, was back on form, and the Renaissance flowering was sustained
into 2011. The Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund International Series B
was up 32.47% through the end of November 2011.
The quant turnaround of 2011 was D.E. Shaw & Company. The firm had had a rough
time post credit crunch. Asset growth is a function of returns, and returns for
2011 were excellent at
D.E. Shaw & Co: the firm’s multi-strategy
Oculus fund was up 18.3% for 2011 (through the end of November), and the
flagship Composite Fund was up 3.8% over the same period. AUM at D.E. Shaw went
from $14bn at the end of 2010 to $16.5bn in the 4Q of 2011.
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