Team Work at Hedge Funds |
Date: Wednesday, May 4, 2011
Author: Simon Kerr, HedgeTracker
There is no such thing as a perfect hedge fund we are all trying. So in my
role as a consultant to hedge fund portfolio managers (PMs), I am usually
carrying out remedial work in some dimension. Sometimes it can be about the
positioning of hedge funds commercially, but usually it is about what the
portfolio managers are doing. I'm going to write a series of articles about my
consulting work this is the first.
One of the key elements I have to investigate in my consulting work is the
relationship between team members. I'm going to discuss one project I did with
two joint-portfolio managers of an
long/short equity hedge fund. This discussion
is to raise issues and to describe ways of working. The team in this case
comprised two members, PM "A" and PM "B", and they ran reasonably successful
long-only products. There are three topics in this snapshot the ground rules
were not well established in this example, there were some important differences
in style (personal and investment style) that got in the way of successful team
working, and one of the portfolio managers had an unusual trait which had a
bearing on his money management style. Finally I have included some of the
solutions I gave to the portfolio managers and their boss.
Ground Rules
It is not unusual for a team to move from running long-only money together to
managing a hedge fund. In doing so there will, of necessity, have to be new
rules of engagement. Clarity of the decision making process is very important,
for internal purposes (for accountability and reward), and for external parties
like potential investors. It is important that there is agreement about the
specific roles to be taken, and that there is a buy-in from the off of the
structure adopted. A successful agreement or understanding will have a level of
detail in it that may surprise some.
One of the most basic areas not made explicit in this case was the fund's
objectives and the consequences that follow from that. The two portfolio
managers did not have a common, agreed understanding of what returns would make
the fund they both ran commercially attractive. Therefore they did not feel the
need to measure their portfolio level risk and monitor it - where they taking
too much or too little risk? They just didn't know.
Another consequence of this lack of commerciality in terms of return profile is
that they had no notion of what was a the worst monthly loss they could sustain
without putting themselves out of active consideration by investors. The worst
monthly loss is a key metric both internally and externally. Internally the
metric gives an implication of where portfolio level stops should kick in.
Externally it is one of a number of measures that give investors an idea of what
the whole risk profile should be like number of winning-to-losing months,
drawdown, recovery period, and what is a good and bad month for the style of
investment.
One of the issues which provoked some tension in the relationship between the
managers was how they split between them the sectors of the equity market they
worked on. It was fine, and indeed seen commonly elsewhere, that the market was
split into two one half invested in by one portfolio manager. The tension,
such as it was, arose because PM B did not want to be excluded from investing in
some of the sectors covered by PM A. It was never satisfactorily covered in
discussion at inception in the mind of manager B, and that oversight hung over
discussions in the ensuing two or three years.
It is quite usual for a PM in a team of portfolio managers to be able to
initiate positions without reference to their partners. But how the team will
react to change for the positions (in size or price) does need to be covered in
the ground rules. Is there any right of veto, is there a different scale of
decision made when the partners don't agree? Once a position is owned is it
subject to hard or soft stops do both partners have to adhere to review and
exit levels? For the fund and team under discussion one of the partners was much
more engaged in challenging the positions initiated by the other partner. Whilst
the partners whose positions were under discussion saw this as a personal style
point (one partner was just more vocal/forthright than the other), the other
partner saw such challenging discussions as part of the investment process. This
difference in perception and therefore activity could easily undermine a
relationship under pressure because of returns.
Differences Between the Portfolio Managers
Having had some preliminary discussions for an overview, and discussed at some
length how the two portfolio managers spent their time and what structure they
had in place in their investment process, some clear points of difference came
through. To explore these further I conducted separate structured interviews
asking the same questions to each portfolio manager gave a chance to compare
attitudes, preferences, and perceptions of the two team members. To put the
following list of differences into context I quote from my written report on the
managers: "The managers have fantastically complementary philosophies on the
market. They get on very well on a personal basis. In fact they have worked
incredibly well together with some quite significant differences in tactical
approaches (strategy being broadly agreed)."
Differences in Time-Frame
PM B is more comfortable with the shorter term time-frame that running a L/S
hedge fund usually requires. Specifically B is much more willing to incorporate
the current implications of market action into his market view by stock than PM
A.
Differences in seeing Companies and Stocks
They have a similar level of respect for each other's views on companies
(specifically differentiating between stocks and companies). However, when
looking at equities of companies (shares) portfolio manager B can be as
dispassionate about shares as he can about companies. This is in contrast to PM
A who is still prepared to argue with markets when he likes the company, even
when the share price action is saying that the market does not agree with the
positive (or negative) view of the company in the short term. So the feedback
loop from owning the shares the P&L is negative for the position and getting
worse (e.g. if it is a short the shares are going up) and that message from the
markets, even if it is just about short term timing of the position, is being
ignored.
The Fall-back Input - is it Technical or Fundamental? (or to put it another
way "short-term or long-term" or even "stock market or real world")?
Through the structured interviews of the portfolio managers it is possible to
tease out where there are differences between the team members on research time.
For example, in this case PM A suggested that they needed to have 300 company
meetings a year, PM B thought that 100 meetings a year with company management
was enough. The different perceptions of what was needed fed through to the
weighting given to the fundamentals. Or, as likely, reflected the biases the
managers brought into the discussion. Under pressure PM A will rely on the
fundamentals to win out, whilst PM B will listen to the message of the markets
and will be prepared to cut losing positions.
Conviction or Confidence?
Operators in markets, particularly traders, but to a significant degree
portfolio managers as well, bring with them the baggage from their previous life
experience to their decision making. So sometimes in analyzing a team it is not
that there are subtle style differences so much as one of the team is coming
from somewhere else attitudinally (or characteristically). There can be a
one-sided difference, if you like. Portfolio manager X brings with them epsilon,
whilst portfolio manager Y has acquired a trait of zeta.
Through the structured interview it came through very strongly that PM A (or the
Alpha member!) had a strong conviction that the most important characteristic of
a successful portfolio manager was confidence. It is true that someone operating
in markets has to have the belief in themselves sufficient to take on the
markets, but the very strong emphasis on confidence manifested itself in the
investment process in this case. This happened in two ways.
The first expression of individual confidence, if you like an assertion of
confidence of an investment view, was in position sizing. Having done the
analytical work PM A would take what I would consider a large position for his
initial holding in a stock. Almost by definition the stock was bound to be
perceived as under-valued by the market at the point of taking the initial
position. If the market further under-valued that (long) position by marking the
shares down (causing a loss) this would create a "better" (cheaper) buying
opportunity, so PM A would have some bias to expressing confidence in his
initial view of the shares by buying more. But the more important point is the
size of the initial holding he may or may not add to the position. Portfolio
manager B would take an initial position of less than half the size of that
taken by PM A, and look to add to it.
The second expression of confidence was the maintenance of positions of large
size. PM A would always look for a further up leg in longs he owned for
fundamental medium-term reasons. PM B would have a bias to trim successful
positions as the positive momentum waned (to top and tail the positions). There
was clear anchoring by PM A in sticking to previously successful positions, and
to cut them would, in his mind, be an expression of a lessening confidence in
the initial research.
Recommendations and Suggestions to Address the Issues Raised
In this particular case I wrote a 30-odd page report to the CIO of the firm as
well as presented my conclusions to the portfolio managers that ran the
long/short equity hedge fund. In the report I
made a series of tiered written proposals key recommendations, other
recommendations, and finally at a more elective level, some suggestions. In
response to the issues raised above here are some of the Recommendations and
Suggestions forwarded:
You should select what you consider to be "high potential" company meetings
for both PMs to attend. This will enable higher conviction positions to be
established at an earlier stage with a common background on the company.
Be very clear and explicit (shared between you) on the reasons for having a
position in a stock. Indeed there may be five potential drivers for a stock to
go up (or down), but you must be clear why you own it (are short of it). The
stock position should be in a portfolio for reason of how it will contribute to
the portfolio characteristics (factor bets) as much as any stock specific reason
(factor). This allows you to control portfolio shape in an informed way. Drift
in any one position may not matter, but when aggregated across a portfolio,
factors like capitalization effects will turn you into heroes or zeroes promptly
in the hedge fund format. Own positions for a reason and stick to it.
You both have to have the capacity to invest in all sectors of the market.
You need a few mechanistic rules that you can apply to take even more of the
emotion out of decision making:
1. Automatic locking in profit/reducing exposure after a stated return. So a
trading position that gives a 15% plus return in two weeks is completely sold,
an investment position that gives 25%-plus return in a couple of months is
halved automatically. The trading position can be bought again if it is equally
attractive at some point. If the fundamentals still justify a larger position
(they have improved since original position taken) then the investment position
can be made larger.
2. You need a review level and hard-stop level per position. I suggest a 10%
loss on book should be a review level, and 15% is a hard stop level (sell whole
position, no exceptions). As a reminder the ABC Large Cap Fund has a hard stop
at 8% for non-core positions and a hard stop of 10% for core positions, and the
ABC Europe Fund has 5 and 10% respectively.
Either can initiate a position, as at present. However there must be a vote
before ADDING to a position both PMs must agree.
Just as you need to know yourself to be an investor, you need to know your
partner if you have joint and several decision-making, rather than having a
presiding genius. Because you demonstrate some differences in personal style,
there are times when you don't understand where your partner is coming from. I
suggest that you complete a Myers-Briggs Model (Extravert, Introvert,
Intuitive, Sensor, Thinker, Feeler, Judger, Perciever) questionnaire. This is
particularly relevant for times of stress we each revert to a fall-back way of
operating and this is the kernel of what you need to know of each other for
managing money as a team. If you understand more about where each other is
coming from (not intellectually but in personal style) then you will be able to
tolerate the differences more easily.
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