Hedge Fund Managers Feel Bearish In April |
Date: Wednesday, April 2, 2008
Author: FINalternatives.com
The first quarter may be over, but hedge fund managers expect the bad news in the financial markets to persist.
Alternative asset managers continue to hold a negative view on the S&P 500, the U.S. dollar, and the 10-year Treasury Note, according to market sentiment indicators released yesterday by Greenwich Alternative Investments.
According to the indicators, 58% of hedge fund managers hold a bearish view on the S&P 500, 17% hold a neutral view, and 25% are bullish.
Meanwhile, the dollar continued its slide lower in March and the majority of the hedge fund managers expect this trend to continue. In total, 58% are bearish about the U.S. currency, 17% are neutral and 25% are bullish.
Finally, despite U.S. 10-year prices moving higher last month, hedge fund managers are less optimistic on the prospects for April, with 67% holding a bearish view, 25% holding a neutral view and 8% feeling bullish.
The Greenwich Alternative Investments Macro Sentiment Indicators are based on the outlook of hedge fund managers employing a macro view and who manage, in aggregate, in excess of $30 billion in assets.
U.S. Equities (S&P 500)
Expectation | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
February | 50% | 0% | 50% |
March | 14% | 36% | 50% |
April | 25% | 17% | 58% |
U.S. Dollar
Expectation | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
February | 42% | 16% | 42% |
March | 21% | 29% | 50% |
April | 25% | 17% | 58% |
U.S. Treasury 10-year Note (price)
Expectation | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
February | 42% | 16% | 42% |
March | 36% | 21% | 43% |
April | 8% | 25% | 67% |